Investors also seemed to draw cheer from the latest earnings season as it drew to a close, bringing a mix of strong results as well as a few signs of caution. With increased tariffs off the table for now and U.

A placid Fed that reiterated its decision to keep rate hikes on pause might also have contributed to the rally that began at the start of the year. Stocks in Europe and Asia, which had been under pressure last year even before the U. Meanwhile, crude oil prices continued to climb for most of this past month, though they have eased in recent days. And for most of the month, year U. Treasury yields held in a narrow range of between about 2. One possible question is what might happen to stocks once the good news runs out.

Can the markets continue their momentum and resist negative news? Or will investors reverse course and show hair-trigger reactions to any potential bad news in March?

The U. There still seems to be plenty of investor uncertainty despite the recent decline in volatility, and that uncertainty might be showing up in heightened gold, U. Treasury note prices.

While the U. The Shanghai Composite rose 5. As the two countries continue trying to hash out a deal, consider that the market may already be pricing in a resolution. As the latest earnings season wound down, investors seemed to have absorbed the generally positive results that helped keep stocks climbing, although they apparently found a few signs of caution among the numbers.

Amid what seems to be a softening retail scene lately, Walmart NYSE: WMT shares rallied on Q4 results that beat third-party consensus estimates as it raised its dividend. Still M is on track to end February in the red. In other key earnings in February, DE reported Q1 results that missed the Street view, saying it took a hit from trade policies as well as rising costs of raw materials. Year to date, DE is still up about 6. Kraft-Heinz Co.

KHC was among the companies with earnings that hit shares hard. February brought mixed economic data. Early on, the market rose after news that aboutnew nonfarm jobs were created in January, according to U. Labor Department data. That blew past Street expectations for aboutnew jobs.

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However, not all economic signs were positive. Census data released in February after a delay from the partial government shutdown. Many economists were expecting an increase of 0. In fact, it appeared 14 times in the minutes, according to a count by The Wall Street Journal. It looks like the balance sheet reduction could halt by the end of the year, according to the minutes. Keeping rates where they are and slowing the balance sheet unwinding are both factors that could improve liquidity.

Remember that markets tend to like liquidity. The resulting company would be the sixth largest U. In February, the VIX fell below 15 for the first time since November as stocks seemed to connect more to good news. A lower VIX generally bodes well for stocks, but when VIX rises, investors sometimes turn toward cash, bonds and gold.The recent fall of natural gas prices to extraordinary lows attests to a misunderstanding of how precarious supply remains, and it has poised the market for potentially explosive price increases in the near term.

Years of waning interest in natural gas simplified the public discussion of gas prices to a single factor: gas in storage compared to five-year average. This spring and summer as storage trended up toward, but still below the five-year average, prices swooned to levels only touched briefly since the early s. Supply stepped up to match demand in an elegant choreography of production, pipelines, and plants with only minor missteps along the way, sparing the market of shortages for many years.

If demand were as stable as in those times past, then the current change in storage trajectory could portend a glut. However, neither storage nor demand is what it used to be. While the seasonal swings in gas demand for heating have not grown, the overall demand has. Storage crucially if less visibly also buffers the multi-year choreography of growth. Storage volumes, though, have not grown with production volumes. For a better frame of reference, the chart below shows nearly 20 years of volumes in storage normalized to dry gas production.

It shows how for the better part of the last three years storage trended down as demand chronically exceeded supply. On a longer time frame, normalized storage volumes have trended downward for nearly 10 years as storage did not expand with production. These overlaying trends caused last heating season to end with only 12 days of supply in storage.

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Click to enlarge. During the few times that normalized storage previously reached the nadir seen this spring, the drop caused headline-grabbing leaps in price.

This time prices hardly moved. When the depletion trend finally reversed, the market did not see the change as partial abatement of a critical shortage but instead as evidence of a glut. Hardly a bearish signal.

Increasingly Weak Demand Outlook Caps Oil Prices

What is more, the market seems not to understand that gas demand will continue to grow aggressively this year and into next.

Seven large trains and two clusters of smaller trains of LNG export totaling 5. The delay sent the available gas into storage, but that excess supply was always only temporary. Indeed most of the delayed projects are now ramping up. Demand from all of various new industrial and export projects should be inelastic. Even if completed late, the projects will demand gas even if spot prices rise.

To supply needed gas in the near term some modest volume will be recaptured in the Permian as flaring turns to gathering, but mostly the new lines will redirect and not replenish supply. Gas DUCs, especially in Appalachiahave now fallen to the lowest number since the EIA began counting, and new well starts, which exhibit a four- to six-month delay to first production, have been falling since April.

Even an eventual increased rig count may provide limited relief since Haynesville pipelines are already full and since unused capacity from Appalachia is limited. Gas prices reacted irrationally this spring and summer.

Prices dipped to some of the lowest figures in twenty years at the same time that storage tightened to near its leanest in the same twenty years even while facing stiff near-term demand growth. Instead of a price increase due to a chronic shortage during breathless demand growth, prices fell on a temporary relief from its paper-thin margins.While iron ore prices will see a correction in the coming months, Fitch analysts do not expect a strong collapse.

Economic stimulus provided by the Chinese government to stabilize growth has and will continue to keep steel production strong in andespecially with the re-escalation of the trade war with the U. A price rally in the second quarter that resulted from supply disruptions and strong demand served to move the year-to-date average higher. In addition, extreme weather in Australia led to the closure of important ports following which BHP and Rio Tinto revised their production guidance downwards, resulting in further price rallies.

Fitch believes that the iron ore price rally has reached its pinnacle and prices will now embark on a correction as exports from supplying countries revive and a weakening yuan dampens Chinese demand. InFitch expects prices to hold up as Chinese demand remains strong as a result of infrastructure project constructions rolling on. Undersea Mining Could Provide Vast Resources: Undersea mining is beginning to look like a lucrative option for many companies. Certain precious metals are becoming expensive and rare earth elements that are much more common in the seafloor than underground are vitally important to new technologies.

The combination of technological advancements and depletion of land resources has made undersea mining a viable alternative. There is no doubt companies see money that can be made.

Rare earth elements play key roles in new technologies, and it takes a lot of work to extract them from land deposits. For example, neodymium and dysprosium make powerful magnets for wind turbines, and tellurium is a key component in solar cells. Geological Survey. The process for extracting them is expensive, inefficient, and dirty. Countries that can instead harvest those rare elements by way of undersea mining will be at a distinct advantage. Mining, no matter where it is, comes with environmental questions.

At the same time, an argument can be made that undersea mining is less harmful to the environment than terrestrial mining.

Oil leaps most in 7 months as US tariff delay on China brightens outlook

Mining equipment varies by type based on the specific activities that are being carried out such as mining above or below ground or mining for gold, metals, coal or crude oil. Drilling machines, excavators, crushing and grinding equipment are some of the more common types of equipment.

The global mining equipment market is being driven by the increasing demand for advanced mining equipment. The population growth rate, urbanization in China and other Asian countries, and continued needs in developed countries have resulted in high demand for minerals and metals, thus propelling the market. Those in the mining industry are increasingly investing in new mining equipment with advanced technological sensors, cameras and automation systems that enable the operator to work more efficiently and improve production with fewer human resources.

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The automation of physical mining jobs is playing a vital role in easing day-to-day operations in the industry. Innovative mining equipment like self-driving ore trucks and robotic mining drills and assistants, is becoming much more prevalent.

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However, while the trend toward automation is helping to expand the mining equipment market, the adverse effects on the environment and stringent government policies regarding mining activities may potentially hamper that growth. On August 13, top officials from the U. According to a Bloomberg survey, expectations of declining U.Futures surged 4.

Optimism swept across financial markets after the US postponed tariffs on some Chinese goods and the Asian powerhouse said the two sides will hold new talks in two weeks. Prices surrendered some of the gains later in the day after the American Petroleum Institute was said to find that US crude supplies grew by 3.

If confirmed by government data on Wednesday, it would be the second straight surprise increase during a time when summer travel typically drains petroleum stocks. China said top officials from the countries spoke by telephone on Tuesday and will resume discussions in two weeks. Expectations of declining US crude supplies have also driven bullish sentiment. Inventories probably dropped by about 2. Keep supporting great journalism by turning off your ad blocker.

Questions about why you are seeing this? Contact us. Home Markets Commodities. Wed 14 Aug AM. Oil leaps most this year as tariff delay eases fears Futures surged 4. Arabian Business: why we're going behind a paywall.

Real news, real analysis and real insight have real value — especially at a time like this. Unlimited access ArabianBusiness. Click here for more details.

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Oil rebounds from seven-month low as Saudis seek to stem slide. Central banks load up on gold as demand hits 3-year high.

Gold prices dip in Dubai on back of USA growth.The decision was made in an effort to support demand for consumer goods — from mobile phones to clothing — during the New Year holiday season. This news provoked a strong positive reaction from the markets, allowing the U. The psychological effect is also important for the markets.

Many times, we have seen how a sharp escalation of trade disputes is replaced with some relief. However, the general trend is still in the direction of tightening, although the mood is still far from panic.

Asian stocks slide on lower yields and global recession fears

Indeed, the tariffs would be bad news in light of the already rising inflation. Fresh estimates of consumer inflation in the U. The core price index excluding food and energy grew 0. Separately from the U. The data that came out of China in the morning is also more pessimistic: after the spike in June, the growth rate of the production sector slowed down to 4.

Investment and retail sales also disappointed, returning to a slowdown. In normal times, rising inflation is an important indicator of economic health and consumer demand.

However, in this case, there is a risk of a soft form of stagflation developing, as price increases are spurred by tariffs. At the same time, central banks are unable to hold back price rises through rate increases, so as not to hamper the already weak economic growth. Separately from the inflation and production sector, the budget policy should be mentioned.

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How are tariffs affecting China?

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We apologize for any inconvenience this may cause. I am humbled to see businesses of all sizes, across all industries and markets, stepping up during this challenging environment.

But we can take action to affect change. He will replace Alexander Matturri who is retiring after 13 years of leading the index business. How can you insure against human ingenuity? Airlines and the aerospace industry will likely suffer an extended period of turbulence from the COVID crisis.

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Hopes for a fast recovery by airlines have not materialized, and a full return to pre-pandemic traffic is not expected for years. This has secondary effects on aerospace manufacturing and other industries that rely upon commercial aviation for business.

The coal industry was already struggling before the coronavirus pandemic and accompanying economic downturn—but the situation has darkened dramatically for the industry in recent months. OPEC revised its forecast for oil demand to On April 12, the organization and its allies agreed to reduce crude output by 9. Birol said.

Integrated oil and gas majors, including Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell, suffered greatly in the first quarter, with the former reporting its first loss in 30 years and the latter cutting its dividend for the first time since World War II.

Additionally, beyond the bottoming-out of oil prices, April saw a continued slowdown of oil and gas deal-making. The sector reported only 20 whole-company and minority-stake deals, down The U. Even under such assumptions, the current crisis will persist. World Health Organization Chief Scientist Soumya Swaminathan told the Financial Times that it will take four to five years to control the coronavirus pandemic.

OPEC revises down global oil demand forecast again, with production cuts in focus. OPEC would have to nearly halve its crude oil production in the second quarter to balance the market, according to the organization's latest analysis, as the COVID outbreak continues to force massive downward reassessments of the global economy. Even with a historic global supply cut accord in force, OPEC is unlikely to take such drastic measures, but it appears to be banking on a rapid pandemic recovery in the back half of the year to salve its short-term pain.

OPEC, which pumped The outlook brightens considerably in the back half of the year, the analysis shows, with the call on OPEC crude rising to Oil producers may need to exert more efforts to lessen the coronavirus impact on the oil market because demand is not expected to recover quickly, given the amount of surplus and large volume of crude held in floating storage, the executive director of the International Energy Agency said Wednesday.

Potential Fallen Angels: U. For companies to maintain ratings at that level, crude oil prices will need to significantly improve in Donald Trump said he is fully recovered from COVID and will not be a transmission risk to others, freeing him to return to holding big campaign rallies during the final weeks of the race for the White House.

Gulf Coast on Sunday, two days after Hurricane Delta barreled through the area. Spaniard Rafael Nadal inflicted one of the most humiliating defeats on great rival Novak Djokovic in the French Open final on Sunday, thrashing the world number one to lift a record-equalling 20th Grand Slam men's singles title.

Triller Inc, a budding competitor to popular short-video app TikTok, is in discussions with blank-check acquisition companies about a merger which would take the U. Security forces in Belarus detained dozens of protesters on Sunday and used force, including water cannon and batons, to break up crowds demanding a new presidential election, TV footage showed.

Lithuania's main opposition party, the centre-right Homeland Union, appeared likely to win Sunday's first round of a national election, in what is seen as a backlash to Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis' handling of the coronavirus crisis. Reuters provides several ways to securely and confidentially share information and materials with our journalists. Subscribe to our daily curated newsletter to receive the latest exclusive Reuters coverage delivered to your inbox.

World Home U. Markets Home U. Supreme Court nominee Barrett pledges fealty to law as Senate hearing looms. White House seeks limited coronavirus relief bill, promises further talks on broader stimulus.

Stocks creep higher on U. North Korea hosts 'Mass Games' for 75th anniversary of ruling party. Truce under severe strain as both sides allege violations.

Louisiana residents return home to assess Hurricane Delta damage. Floods kill 17 people in central Vietnam. Texas' limit on drop boxes for absentee ballots stays on for now. Pennsylvania judge tosses Trump mail-voting lawsuit. Take Five: Banks, bottom lines, Brexit. Lakers beat the Heat to claim record-tying 17th NBA title. King Nadal continues Paris reign with record-equalling 20th Slam.